Madagascar’s President Andry Rajoelina has confirmed that he has fled the country following a military rebellion that has been described as an attempted coup.1 The announcement came in a late-night speech broadcast on social media, where he stated that he had to “find a safe place to protect my life” but did not announce his resignation.2
The Background
The current political crisis in Madagascar stems from weeks of youth-led, anti-government protests that have snowballed into a broader movement against Rajoelina’s leadership.3 The protesters, organized under the name “Gen Z Madagascar,” have voiced a range of grievances, including:
- Poverty and Cost of Living: Protesters have expressed frustration with worsening living standards and economic hardship.4
- Corruption: Allegations of corruption and embezzlement of public funds have been a central theme of the demonstrations.5
- Essential Services: Widespread dissatisfaction over frequent power outages and water shortages has fueled the unrest.6
The situation reached a critical point when a key military unit, the Special Armed Forces and Intervention Regiment (CAPSAT), sided with the protesters.7 This unit, which was instrumental in bringing Rajoelina to power in a 2009 coup, has now turned against him.8 CAPSAT has claimed to have taken control of all armed forces and appointed a new military leader.9
A History of Coups
This is not the first time Madagascar has experienced a political crisis of this nature. The country has a long history of leaders being removed by force.10
- Rajoelina’s Rise: Andry Rajoelina first came to power in a 2009 military-backed coup that ousted then-President Marc Ravalomanana.11 At the time, Rajoelina was the mayor of the capital, Antananarivo, and led popular protests against Ravalomanana’s government.12 After seizing power, he served as a transitional leader until he was elected president in 2018.13
- Ravalomanana’s Exile: Following the 2009 coup, Marc Ravalomanana fled to exile in South Africa.14 He was later convicted in absentia of conspiracy to commit murder in a case related to the violence during his overthrow.15 Ravalomanana faced a difficult and protracted struggle to return to Madagascar, with attempts to do so often being blocked by the government.16
The Current Situation
While Rajoelina has fled, he has not formally resigned, calling for dialogue and a respect for the constitution.17 However, the military has dissolved key government institutions, and a vote to impeach Rajoelina was passed in the lower house of parliament.18 The military has stated that a new civilian government will be formed in the coming days.19 The international community, including the United States and the African Union, has called for calm and restraint.20